3rd wave possible if vaccination not ramped up, Covid-19 norms not followed

If the vaccination drive against coronavirus is not ramped up and Covid19 appropriatebehaviour is not maintained there is a possibility of a third wave of the pandemic in 68 months said M Vidyasagar a scientist involved in the Sutra Model which uses mathematics to project the trajectory of Covid19He however stressed the Sutra Model has not predicted any third wave and it is working on itThe Indian Institutes of TechnologyHyderabad professor cited a paper by Italian researchers on infected people with decreasing antibodies which give some sort of immunity in six monthsIf the antibodies are lost then there is a chance of immunity going down In this case vaccination has to be ramped up and Covid19 appropriatebehaviour must be practiced If not then there is a possibility of a third wave in 68 months Vidyasagar saidAlso read Pfizer Moderna jabs effective against variants found in India says studyWe are also adding the aspects of immunity and vaccination in our model for our future forecasts he addedAccording to a study by the San Raffaele hospital in Milan antibodies against coronavirus remained in the blood of patients with Covid19 for at least eight months after they were infectedA recent serosurvey by the Institute of Genomics and Integrative Biology IGIB suggested that the neutralising antibodies declined significantly after fivesix months making people prone to reinfectionsThe coronavirus cases in the country peaked in September 2020 and there was a nationwide decline of new cases starting in OctoberUsing more stringent measures more than 30 per cent inhibition of surrogate receptorspike protein binding the loss of neutralisation may be even higherWe speculate that this may be related to recurrence of outbreaks in March 2021 after the peak in September 2020 the IGIB paper said on the second wave that started raging from late March and has claimed thousands of lives since thenK VijayRaghavan Principal Scientific Adviser had said on May 5 that as the virus mutates further a third wave of COVID infection is inevitable and it is necessary to be prepared for new wavesTwo days later he said there may not be a third wave of coronavirus in the country if strong measures are taken and effectively implemented at the state district and citylevelIf we take strong measures the third wave may not happen in all places or indeed anywhere at all It depends on much how effectively guidance is implemented at the local level in the states districts and cities everywhereThe guidance about precautions about surveillance about containment about treatment and about tests This insidious asymptomatic transmission can be stopped if we follow the guidelines This sounds difficult it is difficult and we can and must do it VijayRagahvan had said in a press briefingThis story has been sourced from a third party syndicated feed agencies Midday accepts no responsibility or liability for its dependability trustworthiness reliability and data of the text Midday managementmiddaycom reserves the sole right to alter delete or remove without notice the content in its absolute discretion for any reason whatsoever